March 18, 2018

The NFL Draft: The Texans Quarterback Situation Is a Crapshoot

This weekend Chicago Bears GM Phil Emery came out with some comments regarding the low success rate into drafting late round quarterbacks. In terms of how this relates to the Houston Texans, this becomes what every NFL team that is looking for a quarterback has to take the history of the position into account.

The quarterback position is an interesting concept in regards to the success rate in the NFL after being drafted. Success of a quarterback can be varied, but trying to find a franchise player is tougher than expected.

We decided to take a look at the history of the NFL draft in regards to the quarterback position since 2002. Take a look.


Quarterback NFL Draft History Since 2002


E.J. ManuelGeno SmithM. GlennonD. Garrard (4)
A. LuckB.OsweilerR. WilsonS. Wallace (4)
R. GriffinA. DaltonN. FolesK. Orton (4)
TannehillKaepernickR. MallettD. Anderson (6)
B. WeedenJ. ClausenC. McCoyM. Cassel (7)
C. NewtonP. WhiteK. O’ConnellR. Fitzpatrick (7)
J. LockerB. BrohmT. EdwardsM. Flynn (7)
B. GabbertC. HenneC. WhitehurstJ. Skelton (5)
C. PonderK. KolbB. CroyleT. Yates (5)
S. BradfordJ. BeckC. FryeK. Cousins (4)
T. TebowD. StantonA. Walter
M. StaffordK. ClemensD. Greene
M. SanchezT. JacksonM. Schaub
J. Freeman D. Ragone
M. Ryan C. Simms
J. Flacco J. McCown
J. Russell
B. Quinn
V. Young
M. Leinart
J. Cutler
A. Smith
A. Rodgers
J. Campbell
E. Manning
B. Roethlisberger
P. Rivers
J.P. Losman
B. Leftwhich
K. Boller
R. Grossman
D. Carr
J. Harrington
P. Ramsey



Despite being a 5th round pick in 2002. Garrard posted a 39-37 record.

Despite being a 5th round pick in 2002. Garrard posted a 39-37 record.


151 quarterbacks have been taken since 2002, the Texans first year in the NFL. 34 in the 1st round, 13 in the 2nd round, 16 in the 3rd and 87 total between the 4th and 7th rounds. Undrafted free agent rookies are not figured into the table.

– Players in tan are considered to be successful quarterbacks in terms of being a full-time starter and being considered the quarterback for the near future.

– The quarterbacks in the 4th-7th round column consists of 10 quarterbacks who have been able to stick in the NFL in some fashion. David Garrard is easily the most successful of the group in terms of longevity and success for their team.

– Players in the red, the jury is still out on them. They could go either way and there has not be enough time to give an accurate account. Sam Bradford has dealt with injuries, but  he has been a disappointment to this point of his career despite being the #1 overall pick in 2010.

– The recent trend of Colin Kaepernick, Russell Wilson and Nick Foles being successful as bargains goes hand in hand with the situation they were put in. All three are successful because of their respective skill level, but also add the fact in of the innovative coaches they play for; Jim Harbaugh, Pete Carroll and Chip Kelly. All three are considered top coaches for their ability to think outside of the box. Do not forget all three were behind drafted with veterans in place, so there was no real reason to rush them into the lineup.

The 5th round pick, T.J. Yates, is the latest quarterback drafted to win a playoff game.

The 5th round pick, T.J. Yates, is the latest quarterback drafted (since 2002) to win a playoff game.

– Only Eli Manning, Aaron Rodgers and Joe Flacco have won a Super Bowl from the first round. Russell Wilson is the only 3rd rounder to accomplish the feat.

David Garrard, Seneca Wallace and T.J. Yates are the only quarterbacks drafted after the 3rd round to win a playoff game. Wallace has two career playoff wins with Seattle in 2005 and 2006, Yates was the latest round pick, 5th round, to win a playoff game in 2011.


The Texans must address the position, but history on the position is a concern. The 1st round gives the Texans the best chance to hit on a potential franchise quarterback, but players like Wilson, Kaepernick and Foles all had starters in front of them before the took over. It took good coaches to make them work, and those teams seem to be ahead of the curve compared to the rest of the NFL with young quarterbacks and success.

The organization needs to understand the benefit of taking a quarterback in the 1st round, especially when it comes to getting the option to extend a 1st round player for a 5th year. The Texans finding a way back into the first round, if they do not take a quarterback #1 overall, is going to be interesting to see if they can pull off.

The direction the Texans go will be determined how the board falls,  but they will have to find a way to defy the trend when a quarterback is taken outside the 1st round. The team has been busy pre draft and have met with Teddy Bridgewater, Blake Bortles, Johnny Manziel, Logan Thomas and Jimmy Garoppalo at NRG . Bill O’Brien worked out Tom Savage and watched the pro day of Zach Mettenberger which totaled at least 9 quarterbacks they have come in contact with since the open of draft evaluations. 

The Texans have done their homework and now with the NFL Draft in sight they have to find a way to overcome the trend since 2002.


You can follow Patrick on Twitter.  He is the Editor of State of the Texans.



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  1. […] #1 overall selection, which will lead the Texans a different direction to find a rookie quarterback. There are no guarantees when it comes to the quarterback position, but the Texans have to find one that could possibly be the guy within a year to run the […]

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